Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.001027 0.001170 0.001313 0.001467 0.001627 0.001789 0.001963
2025-12-28 0.000787 0.000990 0.001201 0.001435 0.001683 0.001938 0.002219
2026-01-04 0.000621 0.000870 0.001136 0.001437 0.001764 0.002106 0.002485
2026-01-11 0.000476 0.000754 0.001064 0.001423 0.001820 0.002239 0.002711
2026-01-18 0.000358 0.000656 0.001002 0.001412 0.001873 0.002365 0.002925
2026-01-25 0.000233 0.000533 0.000900 0.001348 0.001861 0.002416 0.003052
2026-02-01 0.000152 0.000450 0.000837 0.001323 0.001888 0.002505 0.003218
2026-02-08 0.000097 0.000394 0.000802 0.001325 0.001942 0.002622 0.003411
2026-02-15 0.000059 0.000351 0.000778 0.001339 0.002007 0.002749 0.003612
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000319 0.000766 0.001364 0.002083 0.002885 0.003823
2026-03-01 0.000008 0.000271 0.000727 0.001354 0.002116 0.002971 0.003976
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000217 0.000675 0.001322 0.002121 0.003025 0.004091
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000182 0.000657 0.001350 0.002215 0.003200 0.004366
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000125 0.000597 0.001321 0.002241 0.003298 0.004558
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000089 0.000564 0.001325 0.002306 0.003442 0.004800
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000053 0.000520 0.001312 0.002349 0.003558 0.005013
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000027 0.000481 0.001301 0.002394 0.003677 0.005225
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000002 0.000410 0.001240 0.002372 0.003714 0.005344
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000367 0.001216 0.002394 0.003803 0.005519
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000344 0.001218 0.002449 0.003928 0.005737
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000328 0.001232 0.002517 0.004069 0.005970
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000320 0.001256 0.002599 0.004224 0.006219
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001246 0.002634 0.004323 0.006402